Dynamic and spillover effects of armed conflicts on renewable energy in Subsaharan Africa
Résumé
This paper analyzes the impact of armed conflicts on the renewable energy choice in 46
Sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000-2020. It uses a dynamic spatial econometric method to capture the spatial and dynamic effects of these conflicts on renewable energy
consumption. Using the dynamic and spatial method of the Durbin model, the main results
show that armed conflicts have a significant negative impact on renewable energy consumption.
The effect is to 30.97% for the dynamic model against 31.28% for the non-dynamic model.
The spatial effects of these conflicts show us that armed conflicts, through their contagion and
spillover effects, have a significant and negative impact on renewable energy consumption in the
region of 32.11%. The short- and long-term results are generally positive and significant. For
heterogeneity, results show that the effect of terrorism is larger than the effect of other types of
conflict. Moreover, the impact of armed conflict on renewable energy consumption is greater in
the Sahel than in the rest of our sample.
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